Lena is a seasoned sports analyst with over a decade of experience in betting strategies and statistical modeling.
Just recently, the chancellor, Rachel Reeves, delivered a Labour budget. People have been asking for Labour’s purpose and principles to be more distinctly expressed. Through the decisions made – a shift to a fairer tax system, targeting wealth to pay for tackling child poverty, good public services and the cost of living – we have clearly demonstrated what we believe in.
That’s why Labour MPs applauded in the Commons, and it’s why we are up for the fights to come. And it’s why the cries from the conservative side began immediately.
The primary division in British politics is yet again on the economy. On the one side Labour, who aim to reform it so it helps everyday working people, and on the opposite side, our opponents, who support the current system and the unsuccessful ideology of the past. We must now confront, and win, the argument.
The Tories had 14 years to fix things and instead, by every standard, they got far more dire. Their doctrinaire austerity and trickle-down economics – tax cuts for the wealthy, cutting off investment (leaving us with low productivity and wages), and failing to support young people after the pandemic – proved ineffective.
Living standards fell by the biggest amount since records began, child poverty hit record levels, NHS waiting lists in England were the highest they’ve ever been, wages remained flat, a housing crisis took hold, young people scarred by Covid were abandoned. The record of failure goes on.
One budget alone can’t put all this right, so Labour has a comprehensive plan for renewal and for rewiring the country. And we have to go out and continue making the argument for why our approach will reap dividends.
During the Tories, welfare spending rose substantially. As did child poverty, because they failed to tackle the underlying issues: low pay, high housing costs, significant inequalities in education, health and regions. The state ends up paying more to manage the effects instead of the solution.
It’s why we are constructing more affordable homes than for a generation, raising wages and new rights for workers, massively boosting investment in infrastructure and new industries, reducing waiting lists down and bringing down the costs of childcare and energy as we drive for clean power.
This is also the reason we are absolutely right to use this budget to lift the two-child benefit cap.
For eight long years, since it was enacted, poorer families with children have endured from a cruel social experiment that was branded as fair for working people when it was anything but. Most of the families impacted by it have a parent in work.
It’s done nothing but push 300,000 more children into poverty – which, in the end, costs us more, as well as being heartless and immoral.
I know from my own constituency – where over 5,000 children will be raised out of poverty as a result of ending the cap – the actual impact it’s had. Children wearing low-cost wellies as school shoes, children going to bed hungry and cold, living in overcrowded, damp homes, parents this Christmas relying on food banks for a modest meal or small gift for their kids.
I also see the impact on schools, teachers, social workers, doctors and charities who are already overburdened but have to divert time and resources to supporting children who are living with the consequences of severe deprivation.
Just a quarter of pupils from the most disadvantaged families achieve five good GCSEs, compared with almost 75% among wealthier families. This predisposes them for the challenges they face throughout their lives: missed potential, economic struggles and ill health. Children who were raised in poverty are more likely to be unemployed or poor as adults.
Addressing child poverty isn’t just a moral imperative, it is a future-oriented strategy. Poverty costs the economy far, far more than the £3bn cost of lifting the two-child cap, or expanding free school meals.
That’s why we acted promptly in the budget, despite the very difficult economic context. Every day with this cap in place sees more than 100 additional children pushed into poverty. The benefits of lifting it won’t happen overnight either, so acting early in the parliament was crucial.
The cap was a totem to 14 years of unsuccessful conservative ideology. Now it is gone.
We, as Labour, can also be explicit that these initiatives are being paid for in a just way – from a new gaming tax, closing tax loopholes and a new “mansion tax”.
Fairness and direction – that’s how we will win the battle of ideas. This budget is a definitive statement that we gained the election as Labour, and will govern as Labour. As I repeatedly said during my campaign to become deputy leader, we must reclaim the political platform and define the narrative more strongly about what’s truly flawed with the country and how we are repairing it. We’ve definitely done that this week.
So let’s keep hold of it and win this struggle about how we will renew Britain and tackle the deep inequalities holding us back.
Lena is a seasoned sports analyst with over a decade of experience in betting strategies and statistical modeling.